Sunday, March 15, 2009

Weekend box office estimates - "Witch" takes the top; "Watchmen" crashes

(Photo courtesty of Buena Vista Pictures)

Looks like "Race To Witch Mountain" will take top honors this weekend with an estimated $25 million, while "Watchmen" dived a whopping 67 percent to an estimated $18.1 million for $86 million in ten days, trailing all previous superhero movies that debuted in the $50 million range through the same point. (I took my kids to see "Race To Witch Mountain" earlier today, keeping my streak of seeing #1's in the theater the weekend of their release alive)

The big surprise (for me as well as many others) was the continued strength of "Paul Blart: Mall Cop", which took 7th (instead of 9th as I predicted), beating out "He's Just Not That Into You" and "Miss March". "Miss March" squeaked into the top ten behind #9 "Coraline", barely beating out "Confessions Of A Shopaholic" at #11. With this weekend's recipts, "Mall Cop" will be hovering close to $138 million in its 9 week run. Not bad for a movie most critics (including myself) said sucked!

The Top Ten for this Weekend (estimates):

1.) "Race To Witch Mountain"
2.) "Watchmen"
3.) "The Last House On The Left"
4.) "Taken"
5.) "Tyler Perry's Madea Goes To Jail"
6.) "Slumdog Millionaire"
7.) "Paul Blart: Mall Cop" (will this thing ever die?!?)
8.) "He's Just Not That Into You"
9.) "Coraline"
10.) "Miss March"

My Top Ten Picks accuracy score - 60% - not bad, but I usually do better. Dang that Kevin James...lol! Looks like his next movie deal he makes has a nice bargaining chip salary-wise.

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